When will we reach 100 launches per year again, and when will the record fall?

[oldAtlas_Eguy]

2019

97 launch successes
5 launch failures
+1 blew on pad while just sitting there

Gunter's space page 2019
https://space.skyrocket.de/doc_chr/lau2019.htm

[Tywin]

The records have fallen in this 2021...

[Tywin]

When we reach the 200 launches per year? 

[spacenut]

Larger rockets will result in fewer launches.  Look at Starlinks and F9.  Smaller rockets in the 1960's launched, most of the time, single satellites or probes.  More countries launching will mean more launches, however rockets are larger than those used in the 1960's, in the US at least.  Falcon 9 is what Saturn IB was in the 1960's as far as payload capability. 

[DreamyPickle]

Larger rockets will result in fewer launches.  Look at Starlinks and F9.

I don't think it's correct to assume that demand to orbit is somehow constant, but many components are indeed constant or vary very slowly. For example space probes or spy satellites won't ramp up or down very quickly.

The biggest factor that will affect future launch rates is the economic viability of satellite mega-constellations. If Starlink and OneWeb manage to be profitable then launches will continue to increase otherwise the industry will crash like it did in the late 90s.