You know, watching Starship reentry, bellyflop, and flip and burn, I keep thinking that if there was a crew onboard in a safe (no burn-through) crew compartment (even right now), there would be plenty of opportunity for occupants to safely egress the vehicle during the bellyflop and descend under parachutes! Speeds during the bellyflop drops below 400 km/hr. I'm not saying that would be a good idea but it would seem to be perfectly possible and reasonably safe. I wonder if it would ever make sense to have that capability just in case there was some reason to think that the flip, burn, and catch had become too risky? Just a thought ....
There is such a thing as a doomed ship, just like there is such a thing as a doomed aircraft, and that's part of travel by anything other than a kick scooter.
Quote from: meekGee on 10/16/2025 12:31 amThere is such a thing as a doomed ship, just like there is such a thing as a doomed aircraft, and that's part of travel by anything other than a kick scooter.I would argue there is even a doomed kick scooter. Especially for those sold in the 1960s... As a kid, my parents would not buy me one because they were death traps. Brakes were added and it still didn't stop the deaths.The chance of death is always there from misadventure. At a certain point it is no longer feasible to try to engineer out all possible misadventures, faults, failure modes, etc. As said, it may be impossible due to mass constraints. Until we have a breakthrough in high power rocket engine ISP, we have to live within the constraints of the tyranny of the rocket equation.I know investigations of accidents will happen. I don't think Starships will be grounded once flights to Mars are going on due to the twin issues of Starships already in flight with no other way to end their trip, and transfer windows only being open a short time every 26 months.
For the first test flights with a couple of steely-eyed test pilots,
But how to get out from starship safely when it goes down 50% faster than you want as a skydiver?
In the early 1960s, deployment of rocket-powered ejection seats designed for use at supersonic speeds began in such planes as the Convair F-106 Delta Dart. Six pilots have ejected at speeds exceeding 700 knots (1,300 km/h; 810 mph). The highest altitude at which a Martin-Baker seat was deployed was 57,000 ft (17,400 m) (from a Canberra bomber in 1958). Following an accident on 30 July 1966 in the attempted launch of a D-21 drone, two Lockheed M-21 crew members ejected at Mach 3.25 at an altitude of 80,000 ft (24,000 m). The pilot was recovered successfully, but the launch control officer drowned after a water landing. Despite these records, most ejections occur at fairly low speeds and altitudes, when the pilot can see that there is no hope of regaining aircraft control before impact with the ground.
People thinking of ejection seats or escape capsules need to be aware of the actual positions necessary to ride a Starship. For the launch, the seats need to be reclining (think Dragon launches), in other words, they will be almost on their backs, with their feet towards the non-TPS side of the hull (because of the next bit). For re-entry, they will need to be upright relative to the deck (faces towards the non-TPS side), right up until the flip-and-burn landing, so that the g forces always come from about the same direction. I assume that during that maneuver they will need to recline at least partway, especially after long-duration flights.
occupants [...] safely egress the vehicle during the bellyflop and descend under parachutes!
The only thing worth designing in is increased survivability in case of non-tower landing.
Quote from: meekGee on 10/17/2025 05:08 amThe only thing worth designing in is increased survivability in case of non-tower landing.This is the only contingency I think about. Like when a plane can't land at an airport and has to ditch in a field, the sea or a (Hudson) river. I have no idea what such a contigency would look like. Maybe a landing on the engine bells in such a way that it remains upright? Or if it can't remain upright, then cold gas thrusters that can cushion the blow as it lays down horizontally?