ПРИП АРХАНГЕЛЬСК 100 КАРТА 91306ЮЖНАЯ ЧАСТЬ БЕЛОГО МОРЯ1. ПУСКИ РАКЕТНЫЕ 31 ОКТ ПО 05 НОЯБ 0700 ДО 0900РАЙОНЕ ЗАПРЕТНОМ ДЛЯ ПЛАВАНИЯ 66-10.0С 037-10.0В 66-00.0C 038-20.0В65-30.0С 038-30.0В 65-30.0С 037-30.0В2. ОТМ ЭТОТ НР 051000 НОЯБ=251100 МСК ГС-НННН
NAVAREA XX 158/24BARENTS SEA.CHART RUS 10100.1. ROCKET LAUNCHING 0700 TO 0900 UTCDAILY 31 OCT TO 05 NOV NAVIGATIONPROHIBITED IN TERRITORIAL WATERSDANGEROUS OUTSIDE IN AREA BOUNDED BY:70-56-00N 032-04-58E70-10-00N 033-40-00E69-54-00N 032-40-00E 70-08-00N 032-04-58E,70-15-00N 031-50-00E70-30-07N 031-50-00E70-36-22N 031-43-18E.2. CANCEL THIS MSG 051000 UTC NOV 24.=NNNN
Navigation warnings have appeared for the launch of a Soyuz-2.1a or Soyuz-2.1b into polar orbit.Impact area for the first-stage strap-on boosters in the southern part of the White Sea:QuoteПРИП АРХАНГЕЛЬСК 100 КАРТА 91306ЮЖНАЯ ЧАСТЬ БЕЛОГО МОРЯ1. ПУСКИ РАКЕТНЫЕ 31 ОКТ ПО 05 НОЯБ 0700 ДО 0900РАЙОНЕ ЗАПРЕТНОМ ДЛЯ ПЛАВАНИЯ 66-10.0С 037-10.0В 66-00.0C 038-20.0В65-30.0С 038-30.0В 65-30.0С 037-30.0В2. ОТМ ЭТОТ НР 051000 НОЯБ=251100 МСК ГС-ННННImpact area for the payload fairing in the Barents Sea:QuoteNAVAREA XX 158/24BARENTS SEA.CHART RUS 10100.1. ROCKET LAUNCHING 0700 TO 0900 UTCDAILY 31 OCT TO 05 NOV NAVIGATIONPROHIBITED IN TERRITORIAL WATERSDANGEROUS OUTSIDE IN AREA BOUNDED BY:70-56-00N 032-04-58E70-10-00N 033-40-00E69-54-00N 032-40-00E 70-08-00N 032-04-58E,70-15-00N 031-50-00E70-30-07N 031-50-00E70-36-22N 031-43-18E.2. CANCEL THIS MSG 051000 UTC NOV 24.=NNNNNo navigation warning yet for the core stage. This should appear soon.
And what is the payload?
I think the first zone in this NOTAM below is for the core stage:A5730/24 NOTAMNQ) ENOB/QRDCA/IV/BO /W /000/999/7540N02149E051A) ENOB B) 2410310700 C) 2411050900D) DAILY 0700-0900E) TEMPO DANGER AREA 'RUS SPACE LAUNCH AREA OCT24' ACTIVATED. PSN763000N 0220000E - 752000N 0244000E - 745000N 0214000E - 755000N0184000E - (763000N 0220000E). IMPACT AREA FOR RUSSIAN MISSILES.
Is this related ?
- Razdan: the big optical reconnaissance satellite of RKTs Progress. Somewhat unlikely, because an environmental impact assessment of its launch from Plesetsk still seems to be underway and is not expected to be finished until November 30. See here:https://o-v-o-s.ru/29/36753
Aerospace Forces successfully launchedSoyuz-2.1a launch vehicle from Plesetsk CosmodromeOn Thursday, October 31, at 10:51 am (Moscow time) from the State Test Cosmodrome of the Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation (Plesetsk Cosmodrome) in the Arkhangelsk Region, a combat crew of the Aerospace Forces space forces successfully launched a Soyuz-2.1a medium-class launch vehicle with a spacecraft in the interests of the Russian Ministry of Defense.
Video of the launch on Zvezda TV:https://tvzvezda.ru/news/202410311538-jtawJ.htmlThe use of the small payload fairing is also consistent with this being a Bars-M launch, but we'll have to wait for US tracking data to confirm that this is indeed the payload.