Author Topic: Environmental groups sue FAA over Starship approval  (Read 216695 times)

Offline Robotbeat

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Re: Environmental groups sue FAA over SS approval
« Reply #20 on: 05/01/2023 06:45 pm »
1) Are the litigants the usual large organizations, or is this a group of lesser organizations?

2) A complaint is usually a first draft on the claims.  So the mistakes on basic facts can be corrected, although this might have an impact on their preliminary injunction arguments.
The mistake in starship/super heavy launch rate and fuel capacity per launch together combine to over an order of magnitude difference (taken at face value, a 4x exaggeration in launch rate combined with a 3.7x exaggeration in fuel per launch is a factor of about 15x exaggeration), exaggerating the claims and showing a pretty clear lack of even basic due diligence. They’re wasting the court’s time.

They’ve got absolutely no grounds for complaining that the FAA didn’t do their job here.

This will be a useful litmus test for which of the loud voices care about the truth and care to do even a tiny amount of basic digging and who don’t.
« Last Edit: 05/01/2023 06:48 pm by Robotbeat »
Chris  Whoever loves correction loves knowledge, but he who hates reproof is stupid.

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Offline InterestedEngineer

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Re: Environmental groups sue FAA over SS approval
« Reply #21 on: 05/01/2023 06:49 pm »
1) Are the litigants the usual large organizations, or is this a group of lesser organizations?

2) A complaint is usually a first draft on the claims.  So the mistakes on basic facts can be corrected, although this might have an impact on their preliminary injunction arguments.
The mistake in starship/super heavy launch rate and fuel capacity per launch together combine to over an order of magnitude difference (taken at face value, a 4x exaggeration in launch rate combined with a 3.7x exaggeration in fuel per launch is a factor of about 15x exaggeration), exaggerating the claims and showing a pretty clear lack of even basic due diligence. They’re wasting the court’s time.

They’ve got absolutely no grounds for complaining that the FAA didn’t do their job here.

This will be a useful litmus test for which of the loud voices care about the truth and care to do even a tiny amount of basic digging and who don’t.

It's a litmus test for jurisdiction selection, the facts don't matter in some jurisdictions.

DC being one of those.


Offline gpm

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Offline Herb Schaltegger

Re: Environmental groups sue FAA over SS approval
« Reply #23 on: 05/01/2023 07:07 pm »
1) Are the litigants the usual large organizations, or is this a group of lesser organizations?

2) A complaint is usually a first draft on the claims.  So the mistakes on basic facts can be corrected, although this might have an impact on their preliminary injunction arguments.
The mistake in starship/super heavy launch rate and fuel capacity per launch together combine to over an order of magnitude difference (taken at face value, a 4x exaggeration in launch rate combined with a 3.7x exaggeration in fuel per launch is a factor of about 15x exaggeration), exaggerating the claims and showing a pretty clear lack of even basic due diligence. They’re wasting the court’s time.

They’ve got absolutely no grounds for complaining that the FAA didn’t do their job here.

This will be a useful litmus test for which of the loud voices care about the truth and care to do even a tiny amount of basic digging and who don’t.

It's a litmus test for jurisdiction selection, the facts don't matter in some jurisdictions.

DC being one of those.



You’re confusing “jurisdiction” and “venue” but don’t feel bad - plenty of real lawyers do that too. The fact of the matter is, venue for this action appears appropriate at first blush to me (bearing in mind I have not researched any venue-specific case law for probably a decade - it’s pretty well-established law in most circumstances). The defendant, being the United States or an agency thereof, and in the form of the FAA Administrator in his official capacity, the Federal District Court for D.C. is perfectly non-remarkable.
Ad astra per aspirin ...

Offline InterestedEngineer

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Re: Environmental groups sue FAA over SS approval
« Reply #24 on: 05/01/2023 07:21 pm »

You’re confusing “jurisdiction” and “venue” but don’t feel bad - plenty of real lawyers do that too. The fact of the matter is, venue for this action appears appropriate at first blush to me (bearing in mind I have not researched any venue-specific case law for probably a decade - it’s pretty well-established law in most circumstances). The defendant, being the United States or an agency thereof, and in the form of the FAA Administrator in his official capacity, the Federal District Court for D.C. is perfectly non-remarkable.

That means the problem is structural, not specific to this case, but that's probably going off topic.

Offline Teppich

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Re: Environmental groups sue FAA over SS approval
« Reply #25 on: 05/01/2023 07:46 pm »
Lots of basic factual errors in the claims, including claiming that FAA approved a plan to launch 20 Starship/ SuperHeavy rockets per year when the actual approval was 5 per year, and claiming that SuperHeavy holds 3,700 tons of liquid methane, when the full stack holds less than 1,000 tons.
You miss-read. It says 20 in like 5 years.

The lawsuit contradicts itself.

There's one mention of 20 launches a year over 5 years in paragraph 3, and another mention of 20 launches over 5 years in paragraph 96 (which would of course also be False, as 5 * 5 is 25, not 20)

Offline joek

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Re: Environmental groups sue FAA over SS approval
« Reply #26 on: 05/01/2023 08:03 pm »
Lots of basic factual errors in the claims, including claiming that FAA approved a plan to launch 20 Starship/ SuperHeavy rockets per year when the actual approval was 5 per year, and claiming that SuperHeavy holds 3,700 tons of liquid methane, when the full stack holds less than 1,000 tons.

Appears they conflated "propellant" and "liquid methane" and used only SH numbers, not full stack. In any case, your figure is also incorrect according to the June-22 PEA (which presumably what they were looking at).  With a 3.6:1 mass ratio, full stack propellant load "up to" 3700(SH)+1500(SS) = 5200/3.6 = 1444 LCH4. 3700(SH)+1500(SS) = 5200/4.6 = 1130 LCH4

You miss-read. It says 20 in like 5 years.
Nope. It says PER YEAR.

You are both correct.
Quote
para3  ...SpaceX ’s plan to launch 20 Starship/Super Heavy rockets per year over the next 5 years...
para60  ...SpaceX ’s plan to launch 20 Starship/Super Heavy rockets per year over the next 5 years...
para96 ...which include 20 launches over the next 5 years...

p.s. Attached is an OCR'd copy (not perfect but usable). Please use to avoid posting screen shots.
edit: oops, correct math
edit: correct math again; O:F ratio 4.6 not 3.6 (ht to Robotbeat).
« Last Edit: 05/02/2023 02:48 pm by joek »

Offline envy887

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Re: Environmental groups sue FAA over SS approval
« Reply #27 on: 05/01/2023 08:23 pm »
Lots of basic factual errors in the claims, including claiming that FAA approved a plan to launch 20 Starship/ SuperHeavy rockets per year when the actual approval was 5 per year, and claiming that SuperHeavy holds 3,700 tons of liquid methane, when the full stack holds less than 1,000 tons.

Appears they conflated "propellant" and "liquid methane" and used only SH numbers, not full stack. In any case, your figure is also incorrect according to the June-22 PEA (which presumably what they were looking at).  With a 3.6:1 mass ratio, full stack propellant load "up to" 3700(SH)+1500(SS) = 5200/3.6 = 1444 LCH4.
edit: oops, correct math
Can't simply add those together because the max approved per stage is different than the max approved for the full stack. The full stack has an approximate maximum of 5,000 tons gross liftoff mass, and about 500 tons of that is non-prop mass. SpaceX confirmed the 4500 t total prop mass on the webcast for Flight 1.
« Last Edit: 05/01/2023 08:25 pm by envy887 »

Offline joek

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Re: Environmental groups sue FAA over SS approval
« Reply #28 on: 05/01/2023 08:32 pm »
[Can't simply add those together because the max approved per stage is different than the max approved for the full stack. The full stack has an approximate maximum of 5,000 tons gross liftoff mass...

Right. Doh. As stated a couple sentences later in the PEA "...allowing for a maximum liftͲoff mass of approximately 5,000 MT..."

Offline launchwatcher

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Re: Environmental groups sue FAA over SS approval
« Reply #29 on: 05/01/2023 09:24 pm »
Might be worth finding out how much time the plaintiffs have to amend their complaint to fix all the errors we've pointed out....

Offline EL_DIABLO

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Re: Environmental groups sue FAA over SS approval
« Reply #30 on: 05/01/2023 09:31 pm »
Exaggerations of the lengths of closures… 800 hours of safety-related closures implies over 90% of the time, the beach is open.

And ironically, those closures are probably also more important for protecting the environment than any additional review the FAA and SpaceX could do.

So much this. These people could care less about the environment. If they did they would welcome beach closures not oppose them.

Offline Robotbeat

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Re: Environmental groups sue FAA over SS approval
« Reply #31 on: 05/01/2023 09:47 pm »
Lots of basic factual errors in the claims, including claiming that FAA approved a plan to launch 20 Starship/ SuperHeavy rockets per year when the actual approval was 5 per year, and claiming that SuperHeavy holds 3,700 tons of liquid methane, when the full stack holds less than 1,000 tons.

Appears they conflated "propellant" and "liquid methane" and used only SH numbers, not full stack. In any case, your figure is also incorrect according to the June-22 PEA (which presumably what they were looking at).  With a 3.6:1 mass ratio, full stack propellant load "up to" 3700(SH)+1500(SS) = 5200/3.6 = 1444 LCH4.

You miss-read. It says 20 in like 5 years.
Nope. It says PER YEAR.

You are both correct.
Quote
para3  ...SpaceX ’s plan to launch 20 Starship/Super Heavy rockets per year over the next 5 years...
para60  ...SpaceX ’s plan to launch 20 Starship/Super Heavy rockets per year over the next 5 years...
para96 ...which include 20 launches over the next 5 years...

p.s. Attached is an OCR'd copy (not perfect but usable). Please use to avoid posting screen shots.
edit: oops, correct math
You used incorrect math again. 3.6 is the Oxidizer to fuel ratio. You want the TOTAL propellant to mass ratio, which is 1 plus that, so 4.6. 1120t fuel if using your number for the total (which is higher than what spacex uses).
Chris  Whoever loves correction loves knowledge, but he who hates reproof is stupid.

To the maximum extent practicable, the Federal Government shall plan missions to accommodate the space transportation services capabilities of United States commercial providers. US law http://goo.gl/YZYNt0

Offline Robotbeat

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Re: Environmental groups sue FAA over SS approval
« Reply #32 on: 05/01/2023 09:52 pm »
Exaggerations of the lengths of closures… 800 hours of safety-related closures implies over 90% of the time, the beach is open.

And ironically, those closures are probably also more important for protecting the environment than any additional review the FAA and SpaceX could do.

So much this. These people could care less about the environment. If they did they would welcome beach closures not oppose them.
The lawsuit is just a “kitchen sink” collection of competing claims, throwing everything at it to see what sticks.

Competing claims like that are a sign of desperation and will contribute to the inevitable result: the judge will either throw it out or humor the plaintiffs without requiring any kind of court-ordered block of launches (of course, no launches can occur anyway before the anomaly investigation wraps up and gets the FAA’s approval… and the FAA will likely be much more interested in the FTS issues than any of the bull**** in this lawsuit).
Chris  Whoever loves correction loves knowledge, but he who hates reproof is stupid.

To the maximum extent practicable, the Federal Government shall plan missions to accommodate the space transportation services capabilities of United States commercial providers. US law http://goo.gl/YZYNt0

Offline Robotbeat

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Re: Environmental groups sue FAA over SS approval
« Reply #33 on: 05/01/2023 09:54 pm »
Lots of basic factual errors in the claims, including claiming that FAA approved a plan to launch 20 Starship/ SuperHeavy rockets per year when the actual approval was 5 per year, and claiming that SuperHeavy holds 3,700 tons of liquid methane, when the full stack holds less than 1,000 tons.

Appears they conflated "propellant" and "liquid methane" and used only SH numbers, not full stack. In any case, your figure is also incorrect according to the June-22 PEA (which presumably what they were looking at).  With a 3.6:1 mass ratio, full stack propellant load "up to" 3700(SH)+1500(SS) = 5200/3.6 = 1444 LCH4.
edit: oops, correct math
Can't simply add those together because the max approved per stage is different than the max approved for the full stack. The full stack has an approximate maximum of 5,000 tons gross liftoff mass, and about 500 tons of that is non-prop mass. SpaceX confirmed the 4500 t total prop mass on the webcast for Flight 1.
Yup, and they incorrectly used the O:F ratio (3.6) when it should be (O+F):F = 4.6.

4500t total mass implies about 1000t of fuel.
Chris  Whoever loves correction loves knowledge, but he who hates reproof is stupid.

To the maximum extent practicable, the Federal Government shall plan missions to accommodate the space transportation services capabilities of United States commercial providers. US law http://goo.gl/YZYNt0

Offline rsnellenberger

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Re: Environmental groups sue FAA over SS approval
« Reply #34 on: 05/02/2023 12:20 am »
https://www.reuters.com/technology/space/environmentalists-sue-faa-over-spacex-launch-license-texas-2023-05-01/

Quote
one of several groups bringing the suit in federal court in the District of Columbia.

That's some fun court shopping.  Shouldn't they have to use a Texas federal court?
They're suing the FAA, which is located in DC.

Offline InterestedEngineer

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Re: Environmental groups sue FAA over SS approval
« Reply #35 on: 05/02/2023 01:17 am »
https://www.reuters.com/technology/space/environmentalists-sue-faa-over-spacex-launch-license-texas-2023-05-01/

Quote
one of several groups bringing the suit in federal court in the District of Columbia.

That's some fun court shopping.  Shouldn't they have to use a Texas federal court?
They're suing the FAA, which is located in DC.

Yes, it's a system problem, not unique here, and thus off topic.

Mostly because I could post about an hour of rants about it, but it won't help so let's not bother.

Offline Tomness

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Re: Environmental groups sue FAA over SS approval
« Reply #36 on: 05/02/2023 01:24 am »
Let me guess funded by Jeff Bezos and Bill Gates.

Online meekGee

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Re: Environmental groups sue FAA over SS approval
« Reply #37 on: 05/02/2023 01:32 am »
Let me guess funded by Jeff Bezos and Bill Gates.
Naw it happened too quickly for that to be true.
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Offline jketch

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Re: Environmental groups sue FAA over SS approval
« Reply #38 on: 05/02/2023 06:05 am »
According to the courtlistener link above, the case was assigned to Carl Nichols

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carl_J._Nichols

Offline InterestedEngineer

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Re: Environmental groups sue FAA over SS approval
« Reply #39 on: 05/02/2023 07:24 am »
According to the courtlistener link above, the case was assigned to Carl Nichols

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Carl_J._Nichols

The plaintiffs possibly got a bad luck draw on that one.

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