SpaceX F9 : Starlink Group 4-6 : KSC LC-39A : 18/19 January 2022

[gongora]

Will Group 4-6 lofted up 49 Starlink v1.5 comsats like for Group 4-5?

For that answer check spacex.com/launches on January 17

[Chinakpradhan]

https://mobile.twitter.com/NASASpaceflight/status/1481646680554360836

[Chinakpradhan]

https://mobile.twitter.com/kristinaverner/status/1481653753740546048

[Chinakpradhan]

https://mobile.twitter.com/jaymantime/status/1481689961569165314

[kdhilliard]

A very nice shot of ASOG's departure:

A Shortfall of Gravitas with the smoke from the Transporter 3 launch in the background.

https://mobile.twitter.com/virtualperson4/status/1481720009957298176

[zubenelgenubi]

Space Coast orbital launches in the immediate future:

2022 Launched:
Date - Satellite(s) - Rocket - Launch Site - Time (UTC)

January 19 NET Aug 2021 NET Oct 2021 TBD NET Jan 2022 NET mid Jan Jan 18 - Starlink 4-6 4-? group? (x49 x60 x53?) (flight 35 TBD) [v1.5 L6 v1.0 L32 L-TBD] - Falcon 9-137 (1060.10 S) - Kennedy LC-39A / Canaveral SLC-40 - 02:02:40 ~00:30 00:26:00 or 02:24 00:04:30 or
(mid-inclination Starlink: launch 20-22 minutes earlier/day)

2022 Scheduled:
Date - Satellite(s) - Rocket - Launch Site - Time (UTC)

January 21 Q4 2020 Mar 2021 or Spring 2021 Aug 2021 early Sept 2021 NET Nov 2021? NET mid Nov 2021? NET mid Nov 2021 TBD ~Nov 22, 2021 Jan 2022 - USSF-8 (GSSAP 5 and 6) - Atlas V 511 (AV-084) - Canaveral SLC-41 - ~19:15-21:30

January 23 NET Dec 1 2021/NLT July 2022 NET Dec 2021 NET Jan 2022 Jan Jan 18 Jan TBD - VCLS Demo 2A: BAMA-1, CURIE A, CURIE B, INCA, QubeSat, R5-S1 (ELaNa 41) - Rocket 3.x (Astra) [LV0008] - Canaveral SLC-46 Kodiak LP-3B / Kwajalein - 18:00-21:00 18:00 to 21:00 TBD

January 27 TBD 2022 (NET) Nov 18, 2021 Dec 2021 Dec 14, 2021 Dec 2021? early 2022 Jan late Jan Jan 24 - CSG-2 - Falcon 9-138 128? TBD 130? 131? TBD (low reuse no. booster L?) Vega-C - Canaveral SLC-40 / Kennedy LC-39A Kourou - 23:11 23:11:12
(Sun-synchronous orbit satellites: launch at approximately the same time of day year-round)

January 29 NET Aug 2021 NET Nov 2021 TBD NET Feb 2022 NET late Jan - Starlink 4-7 4-? group? (x49 x60 x53?) (flight 36 TBD) [v1.5 L7 v1.0 L33 L-TBD] - Falcon 9-139 (S) - Kennedy LC-39A / Canaveral SLC-40
(mid-inclination Starlink: launch 20-22 minutes earlier/day)

Changes on October 6th, 2020
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Changes on December 11th, 2020
Changes on February 15th, 2021
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Changes on January 17th, 2022
Changes on January 19th, 2022
zubenelgenubi

[Galactic Penguin SST]

From Ben Cooper's website:

Falcon 9 will launch the next batch of Starlink satellites from pad 39A on January 17 around 7:30pm EST.

His site now shows a 7:26 pm EST = 00:26 UTC, January 18 T-0.

[gongora]

141459Z JAN 22
NAVAREA IV 39/22(11,26).
WESTERN NORTH ATLANTIC.
FLORIDA.
1. HAZARDOUS OPERATIONS, ROCKET LAUNCHING
   180016Z TO 180323Z JAN, ALTERNATE
   182354Z TO 190301Z, 192243Z TO 200330Z,
   202221Z TO 210308Z AND 212159Z TO 220246Z JAN
   IN AREA BOUND BY
   A. 28-38.89N 080-37.61W, 28-40.00N 080-36.00W,
      28-36.00N 080-16.00W, 28-06.00N 079-25.00W,
      28-03.00N 079-26.00W, 28-33.83N 080-34.09W.
   B. 25-59.00N 076-00.00W, 26-40.00N 075-09.00W,
      25-37.00N 073-53.00W, 24-53.00N 074-44.00W.
2. CANCEL THIS MSG 220346Z JAN 22.

[Ken the Bin]

Space Debris notice finally came through (two notices which are the same notice directed to two different Navigation Areas):

141812Z JAN 22
HYDROLANT 134/22(GEN).
SOUTH ATLANTIC.
SOUTHWESTERN INDIAN OCEAN.
SOUTH AFRICA.
1. HAZARDOUS OPERATIONS, SPACE DEBRIS
   180111Z TO 180537Z JAN, ALTERNATE
   190049Z TO 190515Z, 200028Z TO 200454Z,
   210006Z TO 210432Z AND 212344Z TO 220410Z JAN
   IN AREA BOUND BY
   35-59S 050-22W, 35-28S 049-58W,
   37-16S 045-27W, 45-17S 028-19W,
   47-50S 020-18W, 49-51S 011-01W,
   51-05S 000-43E, 50-46S 014-54E,
   50-33S 021-34E, 46-52S 039-17E,
   43-19S 050-25E, 44-37S 051-06E,
   54-16S 018-06E, 54-22S 004-06E,
   54-22S 000-43E, 54-28S 004-31W,
   53-15S 013-27W, 51-14S 023-03W,
   47-53S 033-10W, 42-56S 042-53W,
   39-07S 048-08W.
2. CANCEL THIS MSG 220510Z JAN 22.

141820Z JAN 22
HYDROPAC 118/22(GEN).
SOUTH ATLANTIC.
SOUTHWESTERN INDIAN OCEAN.
SOUTH AFRICA.
1. HAZARDOUS OPERATIONS, SPACE DEBRIS
   180111Z TO 180537Z JAN, ALTERNATE
   190049Z TO 190515Z, 200028Z TO 200454Z,
   210006Z TO 210432Z AND 212344Z TO 220410Z JAN
   IN AREA BOUND BY
   35-59S 050-22W, 35-28S 049-58W,
   37-16S 045-27W, 45-17S 028-19W,
   47-50S 020-18W, 49-51S 011-01W,
   51-05S 000-43E, 50-46S 014-54E,
   50-33S 021-34E, 46-52S 039-17E,
   43-19S 050-25E, 44-37S 051-06E,
   54-16S 018-06E, 54-22S 004-06E,
   54-22S 000-43E, 54-28S 004-31W,
   53-15S 013-27W, 51-14S 023-03W,
   47-53S 033-10W, 42-56S 042-53W,
   39-07S 048-08W.
2. CANCEL THIS MSG 220510Z JAN 22.

[zubenelgenubi]

Will there be a Static Fire for Starlink 4-6?

My >guesses<

Yes, if it's 1049.11, a use before its deduced, final, expendable flight in the coming months.

Yes, if it's 1052.3, following its refurbishment from Falcon Heavy side booster to single stick.

No, if it's 1060.10, 1061.6, or 1067.4.

Counting out 1069.2 for now.

Edit: correction

2nd Edit: It's 1060.10, with no Static Fire before launch.

[friendly3]

Will there be a Static Fire for Starlink 4-6?

My >guesses<

Yes, if it's 1049.12, a use before its deduced, final, expendable flight in the coming months.

Yes, if it's 1052.3, following its refurbishment from Falcon Heavy side booster to single stick.

No, if it's 1060.10, 1061.6, or 1067.4.

Counting out 1069.2 for now.

It can't be 1049.12 since this booster has not yet made his 11th flight.

[Ken the Bin]

L-3 weather forecast.  70% 'Go' for January 17/18.  >90% 'Go' for January 18/19.  Upper-Level Wind Shear Risk is Moderate and Booster Recovery Weather Risk is Low-Moderate for January 17/18.  All other Additional Risk Criteria are Low.

[gongora]

https://twitter.com/TSKelso/status/1482165633802334208

CelesTrak has pre-launch SupTLEs for the #Starlink Group 4-6 launch scheduled for Jan 18 at 00:26:00 UTC from Cape Canaveral. Deployment of 49 Starlink satellites is set for 00:41:36.800 UTC, just 15.6 minutes after launch: https://celestrak.com/NORAD/elements/supplemental/.

initial orbit ~210x340km

[lenny97]

L-2 Weather Forecast. Basically unchanged from the last one: 70% GO on primary and >90% GO on backup. Additional Risks also unchanged.

[zubenelgenubi]

From SFN, January 15, Cape Canaveral’s busy January to continue with another Starlink launch

There’s a backup instantaneous launch opportunity [January 18] at 9:24 p.m. EST (0224 GMT).

Reason for dog-legged southeast trajectory: prevailing North Atlantic winter weather and sea state.

...but the company has said it intends to use the southeast launch trajectories in winter months to improve the chances of good offshore conditions for landing of the Falcon 9’s first stage booster.

For this mission, like the last Starlink launch, SpaceX’s drone ship will be parked north of the Abacos Islands in the Bahamas. For launches to the northeast, the landing platform is positioned east of Charleston, South Carolina, a region that sees rougher seas and higher winds in the winter.

To those who deduced this: Congratulations! 🎊

[Rondaz]

Doug has departed Port Canaveral for the next Starlink launch.

Supporting ASOG droneship and fairing recovery.

https://twitter.com/SpaceOffshore/status/1482496149181411332

[gongora]

I count 51?

The picture is from a previous launch, must be the one from September.

[Ken the Bin]

L-1 weather forecast.  70% 'Go' for January 17/18.  >90% 'Go' for January 18/19.  Upper-Level Wind Shear Risk is Moderate for January 17/18.  Booster Recovery Weather Risk has worsened from Low-Moderate to Moderate for January 17/18.  All Additional Risk Criteria are Low for both days.

[lenny97]

https://twitter.com/SpaceflightNow/status/1482778479242452998?s=20

[Orbiter]

https://twitter.com/SpaceflightNow/status/1482778479242452998?s=20[/size]

Looks like it's B1060.10