Poll

What can we expect when the Falcon Heavy launches?

Catastrophic failure before clearing the launch tower
Clearing launch tower but failure to reach orbit
Successful flight to orbit

Voting closes: 01/28/2018 10:13 PM


Author Topic: POLL: Falcon Heavy launch - How will it go? Vote here!  (Read 8361 times)

Offline Rhyshaelkan

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Re: POLL: Falcon Heavy launch - How will it go? Vote here!
« Reply #60 on: 01/01/2018 03:51 PM »
I don't see an option for Falcon Heavy curing cancer and Alzheimer's, and inventing perpetual motion.
I am not a professional. Just a rational amateur dreaming of mankind exploiting the universe.

Offline Paul451

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Re: POLL: Falcon Heavy launch - How will it go? Vote here!
« Reply #61 on: 01/01/2018 03:57 PM »
I don't see an option for Falcon Heavy curing cancer and Alzheimer's, and inventing perpetual motion.

They've deferred that to BFR.

I don't see an option for Falcon Heavy curing cancer and Alzheimer's, and inventing perpetual motion.

They've deferred that to BFR.

Wait, using BFR as a temporary on-orbit laboratory would be genius...

Especially docking it to the ISS
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Offline Oersted

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Re: POLL: Falcon Heavy launch - How will it go? Vote here!
« Reply #63 on: 01/01/2018 04:29 PM »
and inventing perpetual motion.

Launching the Roadster into that orbit comes pretty close, though...

Seems we're landing at just over a fifth thinking the mission will fail and four fifths believing it will go well. Sign of realism or optimism? - You be the judge...

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I think that the Falcon Heavy will go all the way to orbit despite Elon Musk's doubts of the mission succeeding or even clearing the tower.
"Liftoff of Falcon 9: the world's first reflight of an orbital-class rocket."

Offline Avron

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Re: POLL: Falcon Heavy launch - How will it go? Vote here!
« Reply #65 on: 01/01/2018 10:48 PM »
There is no reason not to expect a successful flight - the only issue is booster separation that the have not tested - however, that could easily been tested in wind tunnel and definitely by simulation 

Offline wannamoonbase

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Re: POLL: Falcon Heavy launch - How will it go? Vote here!
« Reply #66 on: 01/02/2018 11:38 PM »
Successful LEO
Successful BEO

Make it so!

First planet to the right and straight on till morning.

Edit: I think this specific bird flys a second time.
« Last Edit: 01/02/2018 11:38 PM by wannamoonbase »
Excited to be finally into the first Falcon Heavy flow, we are getting so close!

Offline MATTBLAK

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Re: POLL: Falcon Heavy launch - How will it go? Vote here!
« Reply #67 on: 01/03/2018 12:25 AM »
;)
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Offline TripD

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Re: POLL: Falcon Heavy launch - How will it go? Vote here!
« Reply #68 on: 01/04/2018 11:41 PM »
I voted for complete success, so I thought I would break it down in steps:

1)  Successfully keeping eyes open as the count goes to zero (squinting is completely acceptable).

2)  Successfully keeping my blood pressure below destructive over-pressure (despite multitask clenching).

3)  Successfully not imagining parts flying off or inappropriate venting of gasses (this includes the rocket).

4)  Successfully not freaking the dog out or exceeding maximum allowed cursing (the least likely to happen).

Offline seeya later navigator

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Re: POLL: Falcon Heavy launch - How will it go? Vote here!
« Reply #69 on: 01/05/2018 10:50 AM »
I'm not voting in favour of a successful flight because I claim to know anything about rocket science and I don't for a moment have a bromance crush on Elon. I just think that spaceX have worked very hard to get where they are and they are so underestimated that they deserve to be credited for their achievements. So I think they will clear the tower of Pad 39A by about 1 million klicks.  8)
It's the one in a million chance that always happens nine times out of ten.

Offline bad_astra

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Re: POLL: Falcon Heavy launch - How will it go? Vote here!
« Reply #70 on: 01/05/2018 03:26 PM »
and inventing perpetual motion.

Launching the Roadster into that orbit comes pretty close, though...

Seems we're landing at just over a fifth thinking the mission will fail and four fifths believing it will go well. Sign of realism or optimism? - You be the judge...
It will in very short order take away the current mileage world record from Irv Gordon's world record holding Volvo. Irv Gordon will still have the world record ostensibly, whereas Musk and his Roadster will have the solar record.
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Offline Asteroza

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Re: Falcon Heavy launch - How will it go? Vote here!
« Reply #71 on: 01/06/2018 04:24 AM »
OK, I'll start things off optimistically.  There may be a post-ignition pad abort or three, but once they actually release the hold-downs, I'm feeling pretty good about the flight.

So Elon also gets the chance to say "I'd thought we'd be a lot higher at MECO..."

Offline Mader Levap

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Re: POLL: Falcon Heavy launch - How will it go? Vote here!
« Reply #72 on: 01/08/2018 02:25 PM »
Full success. Reason is simple, I think it is most probable outcome of all three options, so voted accordingly.
Be successful.  Then tell the haters to (BLEEP) off. - deruch
...and if you have failure, tell it anyway.

Offline cd-slam

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Re: POLL: Falcon Heavy launch - How will it go? Vote here!
« Reply #73 on: 01/10/2018 03:37 AM »
There's an old Engineering adage that says "never buy anything with a serial number less than 10".
I have my doubts about stage separation. Just hoping that SpaceX have crunched the numbers right on POGO and this thing doesn't do an N-1.
Space is hard.

Offline Mader Levap

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Re: POLL: Falcon Heavy launch - How will it go? Vote here!
« Reply #74 on: 01/10/2018 11:53 AM »
I have my doubts about stage separation. Just hoping that SpaceX have crunched the numbers right on POGO and this thing doesn't do an N-1.

Comparing FH to N1 is as informative as comparing F9 to SLS.
Be successful.  Then tell the haters to (BLEEP) off. - deruch
...and if you have failure, tell it anyway.

Offline Ben the Space Brit

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Re: POLL: Falcon Heavy launch - How will it go? Vote here!
« Reply #75 on: 01/10/2018 01:08 PM »
I think that the only real possible new problem Falcon Heavy will have is the simultaneous descent of the booster cores. There must be a non-zero possibility of either a error in the pre-programmed trajectory, GNC issue or cross-wind that causes a contact and loss of both boosters during EDL.
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Online Lar

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Re: POLL: Falcon Heavy launch - How will it go? Vote here!
« Reply #76 on: 01/11/2018 03:13 AM »
conventional wisdom says a staggered boostback or slightly different trajectories will keep the two boosters separated (distance while in flight, and staggered arrival times at the LZ)
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Offline Jet Black

conventional wisdom says a staggered boostback or slightly different trajectories will keep the two boosters separated (distance while in flight, and staggered arrival times at the LZ)

I think a staggered boost back will be the best to keep them apart and it wouldn't even have to be by much. side-to-side separations can be subject to wind, responses of the cores to tilt and such, but vertical separation, for most of the return, is down to gravity and air resistance.
For a successful technology, reality must take precedence over public relations, for Nature cannot be fooled. -- Richard Feynman

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