Poll

What do you think we'll see from the Commercial Crew program in 2018?

Both SpaceX and Boeing will fly NASA astronauts to the ISS.
Only SpaceX will fly NASA astronauts to the ISS.
Only Boeing will fly NASA astronauts to the ISS.
Both SpaceX and Boeing will fly company astronauts OR crewed flights that don't go to the ISS.
Only SpaceX will fly company astronauts OR crewed flights that don't go to the ISS.
Only Boeing will fly company astronauts OR crewed flights that don't go to the ISS.
Both SpaceX and Boeing will do uncrewed test flights, but no astronauts.
Only SpaceX will do uncrewed test flights, but no astronauts.
Only Boeing will do uncrewed test flights, but no astronauts.
Neither SpaceX nor Boeing will do uncrewed test flights of their vehicles.

Voting closes: 01/01/2018 03:25 AM


Author Topic: Will commercial crew fly in 2018?  (Read 1076 times)

Offline QuantumG

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Will commercial crew fly in 2018?
« on: 12/05/2017 02:09 AM »
There's 25 days left in December, let's see what this awesome community thinks will happen with Commercial Crew next year. I've arranged the options in order of what I consider greatest achievement (both providers flying NASA astronauts to the ISS) to lowest achievement (neither provider doing test flights). Members can't change their vote* before the end of the year and the results will not be visible until 2018, so feel free to vote, comment, solicit, gerrymander, trade, bribe, and otherwise argue for your favourite option!  ;D

* blame Lar
« Last Edit: 12/05/2017 04:01 AM by QuantumG »
Jeff Bezos has billions to spend on rockets and can go at whatever pace he likes! Wow! What pace is he going at? Well... have you heard of Zeno's paradox?

Online gongora

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Re: Will commercial crew fly in 2018?
« Reply #1 on: 12/05/2017 02:18 AM »
SpaceX isn't flying company astronauts.  At all.  It might be better to phrase those choices as crewed demonstration missions?

Offline QuantumG

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Re: Will commercial crew fly in 2018?
« Reply #2 on: 12/05/2017 02:26 AM »
hehe, I updated those options to include the possibility of non-ISS flights... so all your bases should be covered now.

The poll results were visible to everyone for a minute or two there. Fixed it.
Jeff Bezos has billions to spend on rockets and can go at whatever pace he likes! Wow! What pace is he going at? Well... have you heard of Zeno's paradox?

Offline Markstark

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Re: Will commercial crew fly in 2018?
« Reply #3 on: 12/05/2017 02:42 AM »
I went both completing uncrewed test flight by 2018. SpaceX will likely beat Boeing to a crewed flight in 2019...unless... FH experiences RUD event on 39a.

Online Lar

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Re: Will commercial crew fly in 2018?
« Reply #4 on: 12/05/2017 02:58 AM »
it is not our way to allow changes in votes. Think... discuss... then commit. Absent some COMPELLING reason sent via PM from QuantumG, I will edit the poll to reflect our way.... (actually I did NOT edit it to do that, it seems to be a system limitation... Don't blame me!).

I voted my bias (only SpaceX to ISS) and have no plans to change that.
« Last Edit: 12/06/2017 08:51 AM by Lar »
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Online rockets4life97

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Re: Will commercial crew fly in 2018?
« Reply #5 on: 12/05/2017 11:12 AM »
I voted only SpaceX will fly a crewed mission to ISS in 2018. SpaceX can withstand a 4 month delay (Aug to Dec) and still make a crewed flight this year.

I think the schedule is too packed for Boeing to pull off a crewed flight in 2018. I think they'll get their uncrewed demonstration flight in 2018 though.

Offline Svetoslav

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Re: Will commercial crew fly in 2018?
« Reply #6 on: 12/05/2017 11:53 AM »
I voted that both Boeing and SpaceX will conduct some uncrewed flights (by uncrewed flight I count orbital flights and pad aborts), but I don't believe these companies will conduct manned flights.

Offline Paul451

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Re: Will commercial crew fly in 2018?
« Reply #7 on: 12/05/2017 02:01 PM »
it is not our way to allow changes in votes. Think... discuss... then commit.

Discuss then vote? Monster! Vote first, then read the thread.



Voted the same as Svetoslav. [Unmanned flights in 2018. (Two for SpaceX, one for Boeing.) Manned flights slip to early 2019. (Two for Boeing, one for SpaceX.)]

Online gongora

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Re: Will commercial crew fly in 2018?
« Reply #8 on: 12/05/2017 02:08 PM »
I'll be optimistic: Only SpaceX flies crew next year, after NASA accepts the COPV 2.0 design in late 2018.

Online mme

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Re: Will commercial crew fly in 2018?
« Reply #9 on: 12/05/2017 05:15 PM »
I'll be optimistic: Only SpaceX flies crew next year, after NASA accepts the COPV 2.0 design in late 2018.




I won't be shocked if both slip into 2019 and I was going to vote SpaceX only but then I decided to be optimistic. :)
« Last Edit: 12/05/2017 05:18 PM by mme »
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