Poll

How many SpaceX flights do you anticipate in 2H (1 July - 31 December) 2017 from the Cape?

0
0 (0%)
1
0 (0%)
2
0 (0%)
3
0 (0%)
4
1 (1.7%)
5
1 (1.7%)
6
6 (10.3%)
7
6 (10.3%)
8
23 (39.7%)
9
8 (13.8%)
10
4 (6.9%)
11
4 (6.9%)
12
2 (3.4%)
13
0 (0%)
14
1 (1.7%)
15
0 (0%)
16
1 (1.7%)
17
0 (0%)
18
1 (1.7%)
19
0 (0%)
20
0 (0%)
21-25
0 (0%)
26-30
0 (0%)
31-35
0 (0%)
More than 35!!
0 (0%)

Total Members Voted: 58

Voting closed: 08/01/2017 09:42 PM


Author Topic: POLL: How many SpaceX flights from the Cape in 2H 2017?  (Read 1620 times)

Offline Lar

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Number of SpaceX orbital flight attempts in 2H 2017 from the Cape

See http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=41824.0 for lots of details. Same exact rules and criteria apply here.

There are three polls:

Overall: http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=43271.0
Vandy:   http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=43274.0
Cape:    http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=43275.0 (this one)
 
Your site numbers don't have to sum to the overall if you don't want. :)
 
The question is simple. How many more flights will SpaceX get in this year, starting from 1 July (so the (as of this minute) not yet launched Intelsat 35e launch is part of your prediction if it hasn't launched, or a "gimme" if it has) FROM THE CAPE. This includes both 39A and 40 (if it returns to service) plus, as with Vandy, if they somehow build another pad and launch from it in the next 6 months (ha!) it counts. Obviously, when we say "the Cape" we mean both KSC and CCAFS. :)

NOTE: We're interested in your rationale, but not in "should I vote yet" and not in "this poll is flawed because..."... those posts might just get trimmed.. Not going to limit it to one post per person at this time, but if there is too much trivial back and forth we might.
« Last Edit: 07/02/2017 09:55 PM by Lar »
"I think it would be great to be born on Earth and to die on Mars. Just hopefully not at the point of impact." -Elon Musk
"We're a little bit like the dog who caught the bus" - Musk after CRS-8 S1 successfully landed on ASDS OCISLY

Offline Lar

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Re: POLL: How many SpaceX flights from the Cape In 2H 2017?
« Reply #1 on: 07/02/2017 09:43 PM »
I voted 9. My votes do not add up to my total. I'm OK with that. Call it hedging my bets, LOL
« Last Edit: 07/02/2017 10:01 PM by Lar »
"I think it would be great to be born on Earth and to die on Mars. Just hopefully not at the point of impact." -Elon Musk
"We're a little bit like the dog who caught the bus" - Musk after CRS-8 S1 successfully landed on ASDS OCISLY

Offline mme

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Re: POLL: How many SpaceX flights from the Cape In 2H 2017?
« Reply #2 on: 07/02/2017 10:17 PM »
I voted 9. My votes do not add up to my total. I'm OK with that. Call it hedging my bets, LOL
As Emerson said, "A foolish consistency is the hobgoblin of little minds, adored by little statesmen and philosophers and divines."

And on that note, I voted 6 to be consistent with my original 8 for the rest of the year.
Space is not Highlander.  There can, and will, be more than one.

Online mheney

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Re: POLL: How many SpaceX flights from the Cape in 2H 2017?
« Reply #3 on: 07/03/2017 02:37 PM »
I voted 10, because round numbers. 


Offline oldAtlas_Eguy

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Re: POLL: How many SpaceX flights from the Cape in 2H 2017?
« Reply #4 on: 07/06/2017 02:11 PM »
I voted 8.

4 from LC39A
    Intelsat
    CRS-12
    X-37B
    FH Demo
4 from LC40.
    SES-11
    Koreasat
    CRS-13
    SES-16

Offline Joffan

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Re: POLL: How many SpaceX flights from the Cape in 2H 2017?
« Reply #5 on: 07/08/2017 08:22 PM »
Again like my Vandenberg number, slightly more optimistic (at 9) than for my overall launch number, but not going for "the maximum plausible" which I would put at 12.
When I say "Jump!", you say "To which orbital inclination?"

Offline oldAtlas_Eguy

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Re: POLL: How many SpaceX flights from the Cape in 2H 2017?
« Reply #6 on: 08/04/2017 10:07 PM »
By end of Sept the count will reach 4 for the Cape 2H 2017. So to reach my 8 estimate only needs 4 more for the 4Q.

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