Number of SpaceX flights in 2014
Number of SpaceX flights in 2013http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=30684.0
Number of SpaceX flights in 2012http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=27858.0
Salo's US Flight Schedulehttp://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=8184.0
SpaceX Official Flight Manifesthttp://www.spacex.com/launch_manifest.php
Anik's Schedule of ISS flight eventshttp://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=61.0
NASA's Consolidated Launch Schedulehttp://www.nasa.gov/missions/highlights/schedule.htmlCurrent 2014 SpaceX Flights Scheduled
(According to Salo's Thread)
NET January - Thaicom 6 - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40
February 22 - Dragon SpX-3 (CRS3), Hermes 2, LMRSat, TechCube 1, All-Star (THEIA) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40
NET March - Orbcomm G2 (x8) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40
April - AsiaSat 8 - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40
May - AsiaSat 6 (Thaicom 7) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40
June 6 - Dragon SpX-4 (CRS4) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40
NET 2nd quarter - Demo Flight - Falcon Heavy - Vandenberg SLC-4E
September 12 - Dragon SpX-5 (CRS5) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40
December 5 - Dragon SpX-6 (CRS6) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40
December - Turkmensat - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40 (or Ariane 5 ECA)
NET December - Orbcomm G2 (x9) - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40
TBD - Space Systems/Loral payload - Falcon 9 v1.1 - Canaveral SLC-40Poll Rules
- 30 days allowed for voting
- This allows time for those out of town during the holidays
- This also prevents the thread from going on so long to make the poll unfair to early voters.
- With Thaicom pushed to Jan 2014, everyone gets a freebie launch
- No do-overs, I can't change anyone's vote and it wouldn't be fair anyway
- Please PM me with any questions/comments/concerns. I've done what I can to make this orderly.
- UTC time is considered for any launches on Dec 31stGuidelines for "Number of Launches" thread
A "launch" in this case means:
- The liftoff of a launch vehicle from the pad, with a mission that includes the objectives of second stage cutoff and delivering a payload to orbit
- This includes any CRS Dragon missions, Commsats, mass simulators
- Suborbital missions such as Grasshopper and F9R tests DO NOT count.
- Launch abort tests also DO NOT count.
- Any confusion on this, please send me a PM before posting. Rationale for "Number of Launches" thread
The original purpose of this thread was to get an intelligent discussion going on the number of launches that would actually take place. At the beginning of 2012 and 2013, it was pretty unclear how many launches would take place those respective years. Now at the beginning of 2014, it seems with the new Falcon 9 v1.1 rocket that SpaceX has gotten to the point where it's mass producing rockets and is ready to ramp up it's launch rate. We are going to see how it goes and if there is no longer interest in this next year, this will be the last of 3 threads. We will make these on popular demand.My vote on "Number of Flights"
I am confident this time around that SpaceX has the production capacity and processes to support a higher flight rate. I did not feel that way about Falcon 9 v1.0 but I do now about v1.1. It seems that SpaceX has matured their procedures and are closing the times between flights. I voted for 3 flights in 2012, and then 4 flights for 2013. So I was off just by 1 each year. For 2014, I am betting 10 launches. Yes, that probably sounds bullish. However, I am really confident that the major hurdles have been completed for the company. I am making 12 slots as some of you may be even more optimistic than me. And remember, everybody gets a freebie. The Thaicom launch is pretty much a given.