Somehow I got to do something with this strong urge to get a better overview of upcomming SpaceX launches..Hoepfully I am not the only one and this could be the start of getting a nice overview by together figuring out the most likely launch sequence and estimated dates..Please note: flightnumbers and dates are very -ish. I made up some dates to just get a feel on how things might look like...2013:F9-007 - Nov 12 - SES-8F9-008 - Dec 12 - Thaicom 6F9R-1 - Dec 28ish - First flight Grasshopper 2?2014:F9-009 - Feb 16ish - CRS-3F9-010? - Mar 15ish - OrbComm OG2 <---F9-011? - Mar 31 - Asiasat 6 (Thaicom 7) <---F9-012? - Apr 06 - CSR-4F9-013? - Jun 15ish - Asiasat 8 <---F9-014? - Jun 30ish - Orbcomm G2?FH-001? - Jun 30ish - Falcon 9 Heavy Demo (VAFB)F9-015? - Aug 08 - CSR-5F9-016? - Nov 15 - DSCOVR <---F9-017? - Dec 05 - CSR-6F9-018? - Dec 15ish - SAOCOM-1A (VAFB)F9-019? - Dec 15ish - TurkmensatSomebody have a clue where to put this one?2014 Space Systems/Loral Cape Canaveral Falcon 9Did I mis any or make some other 'stupid' assumptions?At some point I guess that SpaceX wants to make a launch a month, but more would be unrealistic for now.So that fact alone should help structure the launch order and dates to some degree...
On the site they say they have Bigelow as a customer. Can somebody refresh my memory for what exactly? Their BEAM should piggyback on CRS-8 or not?So is this indicative that there is an extra launch on the manifest while in reality it should be a dual payload launch or not?
Quote from: fatjohn1408 on 11/14/2013 02:57 PMOn the site they say they have Bigelow as a customer. Can somebody refresh my memory for what exactly? Their BEAM should piggyback on CRS-8 or not?So is this indicative that there is an extra launch on the manifest while in reality it should be a dual payload launch or not?I assume it is this: http://arstechnica.com/science/2012/05/spacex-announces-deal-to-shuttle-tourists-to-private-space-stations/Discussions in these forums start at http://forum.nasaspaceflight.com/index.php?topic=26545.msg895893#msg895893
I have made this a while ago, based on the original press releases when a customer was announced and their manifest on their website.F9 SES-8 November 25 2013F9 Thaicom 6 Q4 2013F9 CRS-3 Feb 2014F9 Orbcomm OG2 (8 of 18) Q1 2014F9 Asiasat 6 Q2 2014 F9 Asiasat 8 Q2 2014 F9 CRS-4 Q2 2014F9 SAOCOM 1A 2014F9 Orbcomm OG2 (other 10) Q2 2014F9 In-Flight Abort Test Q2 2014F9 CRS-5 2014F9 Space Systems 2014FH Demo Flight Q3 2014 F9 CRS-6 2014F9 Satmex 7 Q4 2014F9 TurkmenistanSat Q4 2014F9 DSCOVR Q4 2014F9 Jason-3 2015F9 CRS-7 2015F9 FORMOSAT-5 2015F9 Turkmenistan NSSC Q1 2015F9 Amos 6 2015F9 CRS-8 2015F9 SAOCOM 1B 2015F9 Iridium NEXT 2015F9 SES 2015F9 CRS-9 2015FH STP-2 Q2/Q3 2015F9 Iridium NEXT 2015F9 Astrobotic (Moon) Oct 2015F9 CRS-10 2015F9 Bigelow Aerospace 2015F9 Asia Broadcast Satellite Q4 2015F9 CRS-11 2016F9 CRS-12 2016F9 Iridium NEXT 2016F9 Dragonlab 1 2016F9 Iridium NEXT 2016F9 Iridium NEXT 2016FH Intelsat 2017F9 Iridium NEXT 2017F9 Iridium NEXT 2017F9 Iridium NEXT 2017F9 RADARSAT 2018F9 SARah 2018F9 Dragonlab 2 2018F9 SARah 2019Regarding Bigelow, he made a payment for a future launch on a F5 (to launch sundancer iirc), when SpaceX decided to scrap that vehicle, they asked if they could keep the money and give him a future launch on the F9, he agreed to that.
They must have just changed it. It's now showing two Orbcomm missions again, both in 2014, but there is one Orbcomm mission scheduled before CRS-3.
So the ordering is significant, right?Meaning they've filled up January, and want to do FH early in the year?
Quote from: meekGee on 12/07/2013 01:06 AMSo the ordering is significant, right?Meaning they've filled up January, and want to do FH early in the year?Early in what year?
If they pull it off, it changes a lot of assumptions about the viability of the manifest and probable slippages.
I don't know when the change happened, but the SpaceX manifest currently shows 3 Orbcomm flights with 2 being BEFORE CRS-3. It shows Thaicom and one of the Orbcomm flights still in 2013, although obviously Thaicom is a long shot and another flight would not really be possible before 2014.Why does it show 3 Orbcomm flights? When did they move up to before CRS-3?
Cairo:~ pieter$ host www.spacex.comwww.spacex.com is an alias for www.spacex.com.edgesuite.net.www.spacex.com.edgesuite.net is an alias for a1479.g.akamai.net.a1479.g.akamai.net has address 126.96.36.199a1479.g.akamai.net has address 188.8.131.52Cairo:~ pieter$ for i in `seq 100`; do curl -s http://184.108.40.206/missions -H "Host: www.spacex.com" | grep ORBCOMM -B2 | sed -n 's/.*\(201.\).*/\1/p' | xargs echo; done2013 2014 20142013 2014 20142013 2014 2014^CCairo:~ pieter$ for i in `seq 100`; do curl -s http://220.127.116.11/missions -H "Host: www.spacex.com" | grep ORBCOMM -B2 | sed -n 's/.*\(201.\).*/\1/p' | xargs echo; done2014 20142014 20142014 2014
As soon as they settle down on the design, I think they will keep the schedule.