Poll

Simple Question - Will Falcon Heavy fly in 2017?

Yay
111 (74.5%)
Nay
38 (25.5%)

Total Members Voted: 149

Voting closed: 01/01/2017 01:29 AM


Author Topic: Will Falcon Heavy fly in 2017?  (Read 15102 times)

Offline Danderman

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Re: Will Falcon Heavy fly in 2017?
« Reply #40 on: 03/09/2017 02:49 AM »

IMO the Falcon Heavy will fly shortly after the first Falcon 9 Block 5.


Wait.

Does this mean that FH will have to be re-designed to be compatible with F9B5?

Offline Jim

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Re: Will Falcon Heavy fly in 2017?
« Reply #41 on: 03/09/2017 02:59 AM »

Does this mean that FH will have to be re-designed to be compatible with F9B5?


???  What redesign?  F9FT to F9B5 is iPhone 6 to 6s and not 5 to 6.

Offline Lar

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Re: Will Falcon Heavy fly in 2017?
« Reply #42 on: 03/09/2017 03:17 AM »
Actual hardware is a good sign, but I still think we're a year or two away. Hopefully only a year, then Red Dragon in 2018 is a real possibility.



They slipped that I think. But if they want the tourist cash in '18 they really need to fly FH this year. And crew Dragon.
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Offline rockets4life97

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Re: Will Falcon Heavy fly in 2017?
« Reply #43 on: 04/09/2017 03:03 PM »
A side booster on the test stand! It is looking like 2017 could be a real possibility.

Offline DatUser14

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Re: Will Falcon Heavy fly in 2017?
« Reply #44 on: 04/09/2017 06:46 PM »
If FH doesn't fly in 2017 then Red Dragon 2018 isn't going to happen either; it's launch window is April to May (Wikipedia). My vote: Yes.
Red Dragon is already 2020.
Where can I apply for SpaceX fanboy?.

Online CraigLieb

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Re: Will Falcon Heavy fly in 2017?
« Reply #45 on: 09/27/2017 02:43 PM »
Bump
With Koreasat scheduled for late October on 39A and 60 days needed for renovations at 39A for Heavy, it seems less likely 2017 will happen. Would a new poll be in order?
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Offline rockets4life97

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Re: Will Falcon Heavy fly in 2017?
« Reply #46 on: 09/27/2017 07:05 PM »
Bump
With Koreasat scheduled for late October on 39A and 60 days needed for renovations at 39A for Heavy, it seems less likely 2017 will happen. Would a new poll be in order?

Probably worth waiting until the first week of December to start a new poll for 2018 (if it comes to that as seems likely now).

Online guckyfan

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Re: Will Falcon Heavy fly in 2017?
« Reply #47 on: 10/02/2017 10:51 AM »
Recent pictures show that the conversion is well on the way. I would not count out 2017 yet.

Offline intrepidpursuit

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Re: Will Falcon Heavy fly in 2017?
« Reply #48 on: 10/25/2017 07:49 PM »
Recent pictures show that the conversion is well on the way. I would not count out 2017 yet.

How about now?

Online mantlo

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Re: Will Falcon Heavy fly in 2017?
« Reply #49 on: 10/25/2017 08:21 PM »
correct me if i am wrong i but it was reported that red dragon was a no go

Offline envy887

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Re: Will Falcon Heavy fly in 2017?
« Reply #50 on: 10/26/2017 08:31 PM »
Recent pictures show that the conversion is well on the way. I would not count out 2017 yet.

How about now?

I still think they get FH vertical and test fired at least once in 2017. A launch will depend on how many test fires they need.

Online guckyfan

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Re: Will Falcon Heavy fly in 2017?
« Reply #51 on: 10/30/2017 05:35 AM »
Recent pictures show that the conversion is well on the way. I would not count out 2017 yet.

How about now?

No change. I still don't count it out.

Offline envy887

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Re: Will Falcon Heavy fly in 2017?
« Reply #52 on: 10/30/2017 07:54 PM »
Recent pictures show that the conversion is well on the way. I would not count out 2017 yet.

How about now?

No change. I still don't count it out.

With 4/6 of the holddowns installed on the TEL and all the Heavy cores in the barn, it's still possible.

Online Comga

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Re: Will Falcon Heavy fly in 2017?
« Reply #53 on: 10/30/2017 08:02 PM »
Recent pictures show that the conversion is well on the way. I would not count out 2017 yet.

How about now?

No change. I still don't count it out.

With 4/6 of the holddowns installed on the TEL and all the Heavy cores in the barn, it's still possible.

Photos from the rollout for KoreaSat-5 show more holddowns, and suggest that they are all installed.
That said, I would change my vote from yes to no.
While I am not as pessimistic as some, like QG, Heavy now seems much less than a year away. 
Highly likely for early 2018, IMO
What kind of wastrels would dump a perfectly good booster in the ocean after just one use?

Offline envy887

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Re: Will Falcon Heavy fly in 2017?
« Reply #54 on: 10/31/2017 02:41 PM »
Recent pictures show that the conversion is well on the way. I would not count out 2017 yet.

How about now?

No change. I still don't count it out.

With 4/6 of the holddowns installed on the TEL and all the Heavy cores in the barn, it's still possible.

Photos from the rollout for KoreaSat-5 show more holddowns, and suggest that they are all installed.
That said, I would change my vote from yes to no.
While I am not as pessimistic as some, like QG, Heavy now seems much less than a year away. 
Highly likely for early 2018, IMO

I looked at the rollout video and think 2 holddowns are still missing. Still doable if the static fire(s) go well, I think they at least get it vertical and fired this year.

Offline envy887

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Re: Will Falcon Heavy fly in 2017?
« Reply #55 on: 11/28/2017 08:48 PM »
Sounds like SpaceX is verifying that FH will slip to 2018.

Offline Dalhousie

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Re: Will Falcon Heavy fly in 2017?
« Reply #56 on: 11/30/2017 12:22 AM »
So 75% of voters in the poll backed the wrong horse.  ;D
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Online Zed_Noir

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Re: Will Falcon Heavy fly in 2017?
« Reply #57 on: 11/30/2017 12:46 PM »
So 75% of voters in the poll backed the wrong horse.  ;D

I blame Zuma or whatever it is for the FH launch delay.  :P

Online the_other_Doug

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Re: Will Falcon Heavy fly in 2017?
« Reply #58 on: 11/30/2017 04:13 PM »
So 75% of voters in the poll backed the wrong horse.  ;D

Which just goes to show that polls of technically uninformed people do not and cannot settle the truth of anything, much less make good predictions in repeatable experiments.

I've seen too many people, even on this forum, say things like "Well, a majority of the people posting in this thread agree that the Uru Forces of the Mighty Thor actually propel rockets into space, so that means we're all right and you people who quote this 'physics' myth are wrong."  Not to that degree, of course -- I exaggerate for effect.

The scientific method doesn't care about the majority's opinion.  Just about repeatable predictions that are consistently and correctly borne out, and which describe, within acceptable limits, how and why the things we see have the properties they display to us.  Majorities that disagree are irrelevant.
-Doug  (With my shield, not yet upon it)

Online catdlr

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« Last Edit: 11/30/2017 10:02 PM by catdlr »
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