Yeah. SpaceX first, maybe the Russians or Chinese some time afterwards.Going to Mars is difficult, but I don't think for a minute that it would have stymied the might of America's techno-industrial machine if they had the will to actually do it. We could have gone there in the 80's if plans had been followed through. America has lost the will to do anything like that any more. America wants to have the pretense of a space program, but they don't want to put any money on actually sending it anywhere. The last few years has been jobs, pork and water treading. The string of paper spaceships and cancelled programs during the 90's showed us that.